Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.003029 0.003327 0.003646 0.004011 0.004418 0.004860 0.005377
2026-02-01 0.002533 0.002953 0.003434 0.004025 0.004736 0.005568 0.006622
2026-02-08 0.002210 0.002682 0.003246 0.003974 0.004896 0.006034 0.007560
2026-02-15 0.001962 0.002456 0.003068 0.003889 0.004973 0.006371 0.008337
2026-02-22 0.001810 0.002327 0.002989 0.003907 0.005166 0.006854 0.009332
2026-03-01 0.001718 0.002264 0.002982 0.004011 0.005470 0.007501 0.010605
2026-03-08 0.001581 0.002127 0.002862 0.003944 0.005523 0.007792 0.011386
2026-03-15 0.001461 0.002001 0.002746 0.003868 0.005551 0.008039 0.012113
2026-03-22 0.001371 0.001912 0.002672 0.003843 0.005646 0.008388 0.013025
2026-03-29 0.001311 0.001859 0.002645 0.003884 0.005840 0.008899 0.014242
2026-04-05 0.001229 0.001769 0.002558 0.003824 0.005868 0.009146 0.015037
2026-04-12 0.001161 0.001695 0.002487 0.003783 0.005921 0.009434 0.015926
2026-04-19 0.001092 0.001616 0.002409 0.003732 0.005961 0.009719 0.016874
2026-04-26 0.001042 0.001566 0.002372 0.003744 0.006113 0.010212 0.018266
2026-05-03 0.000984 0.001499 0.002303 0.003697 0.006155 0.010513 0.019327
2026-05-10 0.000925 0.001426 0.002220 0.003619 0.006135 0.010696 0.020173
2026-05-17 0.000890 0.001389 0.002193 0.003637 0.006286 0.011207 0.021739
2026-05-24 0.000872 0.001380 0.002211 0.003732 0.006587 0.012031 0.024057
2026-05-31 0.000827 0.001322 0.002144 0.003670 0.006586 0.012263 0.025131
2026-06-07 0.000784 0.001266 0.002076 0.003600 0.006564 0.012449 0.026120
2026-06-14 0.000752 0.001227 0.002034 0.003578 0.006631 0.012822 0.027582
2026-06-21 0.000731 0.001206 0.002025 0.003615 0.006821 0.013467 0.029769
2026-06-28 0.000698 0.001162 0.001970 0.003560 0.006816 0.013696 0.030975